According to @DowdEdward, Trump’s latest remarks signal deflation risk, drawing a parallel to the European Central Bank’s moves during the 2014 low-inflation episode. source: Edward Dowd, Twitter post dated Dec 10, 2025 In 2014 the ECB pushed the deposit facility rate below zero and launched targeted longer-term refinancing operations to counter persistently low inflation, as formally announced on June 5, 2014. source: European Central Bank, Press Release, 5 June 2014 Historically, credible deflation risk raises rate-cut expectations and encourages balance-sheet policies that compress term premia and lower long-term yields. source: Federal Reserve, Gagnon et al., 2011, The Financial Market Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Large-Scale Asset Purchases Easier global liquidity has coincided with higher beta behavior in crypto, with Bitcoin’s correlation to equities rising notably since 2020, making BTC and ETH sensitive to policy easing. source: International Monetary Fund, 2022, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Posing New Risks Traders should track front-end rate expectations and the dollar for near-term direction in BTC and ETH via CME FedWatch and the ICE U.S. Dollar Index. source: CME Group, FedWatch Tool methodology; ICE Data Indices, U.S. Dollar Index